Tuley's Takes Today: Monday betting recaps, updated stats, Tuesday Best Bets in MLB 8/16 – VSiN





By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 
Monday was back to work for the week in the Tuley’s Takes home office as we had a nearly full MLB card and opening lines for NFL Preseason Week 2.

Monday’s recaps
MLB: Faves went 8-6 with upsets by the Rays (+ 200 at Yankees, who fell to 3-12 in last 15 games and 8-16 since the All-Star Break), Tigers (+ 175, Game 2 at Guardians to snap 8-game losing streak), Orioles (+ 140 at Blue Jays), Marlins (+ 126 vs. Padres), Nationals (+ 122 vs. Cubs) and White Sox (+ 110 vs. Astros). Home teams also went 8-6. Unders 9-5.
More MLB: Faves lead 1,030-677 SU (60.3 percent) on the season with 26 pick-'ems (faves usually win around 59 percent; still ahead of pace; gap had been narrowing but now back over 60 percent). Home teams lead 919-813 (53.1 percent, usually closer to 54 percent but on the rise). Unders lead 850-791-89 (51.8 percent).
NFL preseason (ICYMI): Dogs finished 8-7 SU and 9-6 ATS in Preseason Week 1 with 1 pick-'em (Dolphins-Buccaneers). Home/road teams split 8-8 SU with home teams leading 9-7 ATS. Overs went 13-3. Including neutral-site HOF Game the week before, faves/dogs are tied 8-8 SU overall with 1 PK but dogs lead 9-7 ATS. Overs lead 14-3.
Tuesday’s Takes
Tigers 1st 5 + 165 at Guardians: As mentioned above, the Tigers snapped their 8-game losing streak in the nightcap of their doubleheader Monday against the Guardians, so they’re in a swagger spot and we look for them to keep the momentum at least early into Tuesday’s game. Garrett Hill (2-3, 4.66 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) isn’t our favorite pitcher to back, but he shouldn’t be this big of a dog vs. Zach Plesac (2-10, 4.32 ERA, 1.32 WHIP). We have this a lot closer to pick-’em, so we’ll take the 1st 5 line as well as the game ML around + 180.
Mets 1st 5 + 120 at Braves: The Mets let us down Monday, but let’s come back with them as Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.4 ERA, 1.20 WHIP) got shelled last week by the Braves, but he looked back in form in his next start vs. the Reds. Also, according to our VSiN colleague Scott Seidenberg, the Mets are an MLB-best 31-9 this season after a loss. The only other 1st 5 dog I’m considering for Tuesday is the Rays/Springs 1st 5 + 140 at the struggling Yankees (it helps with the confidence to make this play after cashing at + 200 on Monday.   
Good luck today (and every day!).

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