Tuley's Takes Today: Tuesday betting recaps, Wednesday MLB picks plus NFL preseason 8/17 – VSiN





By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 
Tuesday was spent, per usual, writing our original weekly version of this column for VSiN’s digital online magazine, Point Spread Weekly, which just finished our 5th year of publishing since launching right before the 2017 football season.

Tuesday’s recaps
MLB: Faves went 9-6 Tuesday with upsets by the Orioles (+ 188 in 4-2 win at Blue Jays), Tigers (+ 185 in 4-3 win at Guardians), Rays (+ 142 in 3-1 win at Yankees), Marlins (+ 132 in 4-3 win vs. Padres), White Sox (+ 115 in 4-3 win vs. Astros) and A's (+ 115 in 5-1 win at Rangers to snap 9-game losing streak). Road teams went 8-7; Over/Unders split 6-6-3 with pushes in SD-MIA (7), BOS-PIT (8) and HOU-CHW (7).
More MLB: Faves lead 1,039-837 SU (60.3 percent) on the season with 26 pick-'ems (faves usually win around 59 percent; still ahead of pace; gap had been narrowing but now back over 60 percent). Home teams lead 926-821 (53 percent, usually closer to 54 percent but on the rise). Unders lead 856-797-92 (51.8 percent).
NFL preseason (ICYMI): Dogs finished 8-7 SU and 9-6 ATS in Preseason Week 1 with 1 pick-'em (Dolphins-Buccaneers). Home/road teams split 8-8 SU with home teams leading 9-7 ATS. Overs went 13-3. Including neutral-site HOF Game the week before, faves/dogs are tied 8-8 SU overall with 1 PK but dogs lead 9-7 ATS. Overs lead 14-3.
Wednesday’s Takes
A’s 1st 5 + 135 at Rangers: Most books weren’t showing a 1st 5 line early this morning (2:45 a.m. PT) but the A’s are + 145 on the full-game ML so the 1st line should fall somewhere in this range. The A’s are in a swagger spot (just like the Tigers yesterday) after snapping a 9-game losing streak, Neither pitcher has been effective with Oakland’s Adam Oller (1-5, 7.26 ERA, 1.78 WHIP) vs. Texas’s Cole Ragans (0-1, 4.82 ERA, 1.71 WHIP), but I’ll take the plus-money in an otherwise pick-’em affair and count on the A’s offense to keep its momentum after snapping the skid.

Here are my NFL Preseason Week 2 plays. For the reasoning behind the picks, VSiN subscribers can check them out in Point Spread Weekly:
Thursday: Bears-Seahawks Over 42.5

Good luck today (and every day!).
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A Numbers Game: Keep an eye out for diminishing returns on teams that you were high on at the beginning of the season like the Colts. Know when to sell on these teams.
Follow The Money: QB play is down in the NFL, according to Michael Lombardi. Worth looking at more Unders until it changes.
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Tim Murray: Florida -10 vs Mizzou
Dave Tuley: Texans +7 at Jaguars
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CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.
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