Tuley's Takes Today: Tuesday betting recaps, Wednesday picks plus NFL preseason 8/10 – VSiN





By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 
Tuesday was a busy day in and out of the Tuley’s Take home office.

Tuesday’s recaps
MLB: Mariners (+ 121) beat Yankees 1-0 in 13 innings late Tuesday. MLB faves went 11-5 on the night. Other notable upsets were by Rockies (+ 152 in 16-5 home rout vs. Cardinals, who had their 7-game win streak snapped) and Nationals (+ 188 in 6-5 win at Cubs to snap a 6-game skid). Home teams went 11-5 on Tuesday. Over/Unders split 7-7-2 with pushes in the Guardians' 5-2 win at the Tigers (with a betting total of 7 runs) and the Brewers' 5-3 win vs. the Rays (betting total of 8).
More MLB: Faves lead 978-649 SU (60 percent) on the season with 25 pick-'ems (faves usually win around 59 percent; still ahead of pace; gap had been narrowing but now back over 60 percent). Home teams lead 872-780 (52.8 percent, usually closer to 54 percent but on the rise). Unders lead 809-758-82 (51.6 percent).
Wednesday’s Takes
Rockies 1st 5 + 125 vs. Cardinals: Regular readers will remember last Wednesday when we had swagger/anti-swagger plays on the Pirates and Nationals and came out ahead when the Pirates cashed at + 190 vs. the Brewers. Well, we have an anti-swagger play against the Cardinals, who had their 7-game winning streak snapped, so we’re taking the Rockies in the 1st 5 innings with Kyle Freeland (7-7, but Rockies are 12-9 in his starts). Today’s swagger play is on the Nationals, who snapped their 6-game losing streak, as they’re around + 135 on the 1st 5 line at the Cubs in a pretty much coin-flip between Josiah Gray and Justin Steele. We make a profit with a split and clean up if we get another sweep.

Saturday

Seahawks + 3 at Steelers: Geno Smith is the incumbent to replace Russell Wilson in Seattle, but we’re hearing that former Bronco Drew Lock is having a good camp, so we could have a motivated backup. If they both see considerable time, I give a considerable edge to the Seahawks. Mitch Trubisky is No. 1 on the Steelers’ depth chart, so we don’t see as much of a QB battle there with Mason Rudolph and rookie Kenny Pickett. For future reference, Seattle’s Pete Carroll (26-17, 60.5 percent) and Pittsburgh’s Mike Tomlin (34-24 ATS, 58.6 percent) are both play-on coaches.

Good luck today (and every day!).
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The Lombardi Line: Bookmakers love parleys, when playing them, you want a mix of favorites and underdogs.
Pro Football Blitz: When you back teams on the raod you want a good running team, when you back teams at home you want a good passing team. With teams on the road usually the underdog, you want a team that can control time of possession like the Tennessee Titans.
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Shaun King: Eagles -6.5 vs Jaguars
Brendan Gaughan: Brad Keselowski Top 3 +600
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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.
NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.
CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.
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